01 / Decisions
Six decisions
the framework
addresses.

The decisions the framework helps with.

Each decision is grounded in a specific core or cluster. Each has been calibrated at least once. Each is defensible against hostile review.

01 · CM-0

Does productive electricity surplus actually exist, or is it political marketing?

The national waterfall (a step-by-step calculation that subtracts each use of electricity in turn, to reveal what is left over) back-tested against 25 years of data settles the question. NZ returns Band A (the framework's top confidence tier, meaning the surplus is real and durable) every year 2000–2024.

02 · CM-2 + CM-3

What should we use surplus for — domestic productive use, export, or decarbonising existing industry?

Stage TEA (staged techno-economic analysis — modelling costs and returns step by step) across competing chains identifies where energy advantage concentrates, and which conversions produce qualification advantage downstream.

03 · CM-0 + CM-8

Is our EDGS (the government's official long-term electricity demand and generation scenarios) / scenario / pathway internally consistent?

Scenario assumptions are stress-tested against historical calibration. Internal inconsistencies are surfaced in the methodology appendix, not buried.

04 · CM-10

What is the sovereign capability case for fertiliser, pharma, and data centres?

The Sovereign Necessities cluster integrates security of supply, supply chain, and economic returns into a single bankability frame (a test of whether lenders would actually finance it).

05 · CM-7 + CM-9

How do we position for regional industrial competition?

State and regional surplus heterogeneity (how much surplus varies from region to region) maps to industrial siting strategy. Pilbara, SA, and Queensland present distinct productive-surplus profiles in the AU calibration.

06 · CM-1 + CM-13

What policy levers actually move the dial?

Sensitivity analysis on the largest assumptions identifies high-leverage interventions. Food processing emerged as the #1 sectoral sensitivity in the NZ wealth/TWh decomposition (economic value generated per terawatt-hour — TWh, a large unit of electricity supply).

02 / Sample work
NZ.
Back-tested.
Specific.

What a calibrated assessment looks like.

The NZ assessment is the worked example. Back-tested against MBIE (New Zealand's Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment) data from 2000 to 2024, the national waterfall returns Band A every year. EDGS Reference (62 TWh by 2050) and Growth (72 TWh) trajectories remain Band A. Productive abundance requires roughly 90 TWh by 2035.

44TWh
Current annual supply.
MBIE · 2024
90TWh
Abundance threshold by 2035.
Inari Protocol · CM-0
25yrs
Band A back-test 2000–2024.
MBIE · audited
~2×
Abundance dividend over current trajectory — see the NZ case study.
Inari Protocol
Read the full NZ case
03 / How we engage
Three
principles.

How we engage.

Three principles, plainly stated.

01 · Non-partisan

Across the political spectrum.

The firm works with parties of any persuasion. Methodology is published; conclusions remain the client's. The framework provides the analytical basis for whatever position a party chooses — it does not write the position.

02 · Confidential by default

Policy work is confidential.

Unless and until the client chooses to publish. Methodology is always disclosable; conclusions and recommendations remain the client's. The framework is auditable; the strategic application of it is not.

03 · Defensible methodology

Built to survive cross-examination.

Every assumption documented. Every output reproducible. The framework can survive a hostile peer review or a parliamentary inquiry. That is the point.

04 / Engagement context
Three typical
engagements.

Engagement context.

Three engagement types most common for government and political clients.

Engagement typeDurationPrice band
National or regional surplus assessment (P1)8–16 weeksPOA
Policy platform analytical support (lightweight P1)4–8 weeksPOA
Standing instance for in-house use (P5)12–24 wks build
+ ongoing
POA
Engage

A scoping conversation, not a capability deck.

One hour. We will understand the decision in front of you and propose the right product — or tell you honestly if the framework is not yet a fit.

Engagements with parties out of office run on the same terms as engagements with parties in office.