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稲荷 Inari Protocol — Abundance Production Ceiling Model · interactive explorer

National Abundance Diagnostic

Pick a country. Watch its energy future resolve.

One click runs the production-ceiling model across 2024–2050 and shows what the country becomes — and what it would take.

New Zealand

2024
Scarcity Management
Band A
44
TWh generated
55%
Reserve filled
0.0
Surplus MWh/cap

Where the power goes (share of usable supply)

floor
wellbeing
reserve
surplus
floorwellbeingreserveproductive surplus

Usable = generated − 10.8% grid loss (T&D). Hover each block for what that level covers.

Surplus per person & band, over time

Production bands — where this sits & what it means

2050 outcomes — same country, two paths

Resource & capture — the physical reality

What nature offers vs what New Zealand takes · sourced metrics only

Solar — what lands vs what we takeDERIVED · EST · SOURCED

Deployed vs sourced 2050 ceilingSOURCED · per-bar

% of 2050 ceiling already builtSOURCED · per-tech

Dial fill = share of each tech’s sourced 2050 ceiling already built. Capacity factor in hover. Pre-commercial techs (offshore wind, marine) read ~0%; offshore also carries an order-of-magnitude geospatial ceiling.

Why flexibility can't shave the peakSCHEMATIC

Sunshine hours by regionSOURCED

True choropleth — real region boundaries (Stats NZ Regional Council 2025, generalised, CC-BY 4.0); colour = annual sunshine hours (NIWA 1991–2020). Hover a region for hours & PV yield. A resource proxy; per-pixel GHI is a declared gap.

Go deeper — the next models

Anchor Portfolio →
Once there's a surplus, what to build with it — CM-19 selects the flexible industries that absorb it.
CM-Engine · next
Full Diagnostic →
The ~40-page National Abundance Diagnostic: tiers, bands, per-capita matrix, priority stack.
available
Policy & Regulator cuts →
Sequencing, the resilience-reserve gap, energy-poverty floor — for government and system operators.
available
Scenario, not forecast · order-of-magnitude, calibrated to MBIE 2024 & Stats NZ · model: APCM v3 · independent analysis, not commissioned
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